Figure 33
CAD/USD Exchange Rate: The Silent Factor
Monthly Average, FRED DEXCAUS Series • January 2015 through February 2026
Higher = weaker Canadian dollar (more CAD needed per USD)
CAD per USD (monthly avg)
CAD depreciation since 2022 has acted as a partial buffer on raw material costs when expressed in USD โ processors paying CAD-denominated dock prices have seen their USD cost rise less than the CAD price alone would suggest. In 2026, continued CAD weakness at current levels provides approximately 80ยข/lb of buffer on dock cost relative to a par exchange rate. This buffer disappears if CAD strengthens on a trade deal resolution or commodity price recovery.
Source: Seafood Datasearch from Federal Reserve (FRED) DEXCAUS series