Figures in the 2026 NL Crab Report

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Figures in the 2026 NL Crab Report

Interactive charts from the Crab Market Review, March 2026

Seafood Datasearch • seafooddatasearch.com

Introduction & Section 1: What Determines Price

Fig. 1Snow Crab Tariff Threat Timeline› Fig. 2US Share of Canadian Snow Crab Exports, 2012-2025› Fig. 3US Snow Crab Supply and Price (25 years)› Fig. 4Four Price Regimes Since 2009› Fig. 5US Snow Crab Imports by Source› Fig. 6Newfoundland's Dominant Market Share›

Section 2: Supply Situation for 2026

Fig. 7Pre-Season Price Signal› Fig. 8Inventory Exhaustion Calendar› Fig. 9Pack Year Front-Loading (Detailed)› Fig. 10NL and Gulf Quota History›

Section 3: Consumer & Economic Environment

Fig. 11Consumer Sentiment 2024-2026› Fig. 12Consumer Savings Drawdown› Fig. 13Retail Crab Market: Price vs Volume› Fig. 14The K-Shaped Consumer Economy› Fig. 15Economic Headwinds Getting Worse›

Section 4: US Retail Demand

Fig. 16Retail Usage vs Overall Imports› Fig. 17Retail Price Trends 2021–2026› Fig. 18Consumer Price Sensitivity and Discount Behavior› Fig. 19Holiday Week Performance 2023–2026› Fig. 205-Year Distribution Analysis› Fig. 21Market Performance› Fig. 22Retail vs Imports (Detailed)›

Section 5: Foodservice

Fig. 23Foodservice Sales vs Grocery› Fig. 24Foodservice Growth Trend› Fig. 25Foodservice Spending by Income Quartile› Fig. 265-8 vs 8-Up Price Convergence› Fig. 27Retail Promotional Volume Declining as Prices Rise — interactive version unavailable

Section 6: Historical Pricing

Fig. 28Real vs Nominal Snow Crab Price Since 2000› Fig. 29Gulf / Newfoundland 5-8 Price Differential› Fig. 30Processor Gross Margins and Harvester Share› Fig. 31Volume-Weighted Gross Margins Over Time› Fig. 32CAD/USD Exchange Rate›

Section 7: International Markets

Fig. 33Canadian Exports Overview› Fig. 34Japan Frozen Snow Crab Imports› Fig. 35Japanese Crabmeat from Canadian Processed Crab› Fig. 36Japanese Imports of Crabmeat (All Types)› Fig. 37Timeline of Tariff Issues for Canadian Snow Crab — interactive version unavailable

Section 9: The Pricing Model

Fig. 38Season Opener Model: Historical Fit with 2026 Forecast› Fig. 39What Buyers Actually Paid: Volume-Weighted Prices› Fig. 402026 Scenario Price Bands› Fig. 41Front-Loading as a Demand Signal›

Section 10: 2026 Market Outlook

Fig. 42NL/Gulf Quota Estimate for 2026-27› Fig. 43Last Three Season Price Patterns› Fig. 44CUSMA Planning Horizon›

Crab Market Review, March 2026 • Prepared for the Ministry of Fisheries and Aquaculture, Province of Newfoundland
John Sackton • Seafood Datasearch • jsackton@seafoodlink.com